Currency analysts gave a forecast for fall

Аналитики дали валютный прогноз на осень

By winter, the hryvnia may fall to a minimum in 2015

By the winter of the dollar can grow up to 30 hryvnia, admit some experts. In the early fall of the hryvnia can be a little stronger.

In September, the hryvnia exchange rate can be stabilized, but by November the dollar for the first time in 2015 to break the mark of 30 UAH. It is reported by the League, which brought together the forecasts of analysts.

So, head sales Treasury products of OTP Bank Yuri Krokhmal said that in September the country will enter a currency gain of farmers. This may partly strengthen the hryvnia.

“In addition, note that in the active season will include importers, and the NBU will use every opportunity to replenish the reserves. Therefore, a strong decline in quotations should not count” – said Krokhmal.

The analysts note that to alleviate the pressure on the hryvnia from the global trends can the rhetoric of the U.S. administration, which recently said about the dangers of a strong dollar on local economies, says the head of analytical Department ICU Alexander Valchyshen.

Also the situation can be positively influenced by the decision of the national Bank on a second consecutive interest rate hike, which will be announced on 6 September, adds the head of the Department for dealing operations of the Bank Pivdenny Oleg Ropac.

OTP Bank focused on a wide exchange rate band in the 27 – 28,8 UAH/$ in September. Bank Credit Dnepr predicts 27,5 – 28,5 in the absence of political and economic shocks.

Ropac of Bank Pivdennyi consider a realistic range of 28 – 29 UAH/$. Alpari focuses on 29 UAH/$ by the end of September, a senior analyst at Forex Club Andrey Shevchishin on the stabilization of the rate range to 27.75-28,5 UAH/$.

The least optimistic forecast is the Director of the Department of market research at IBI-Rating Victor szulik. In his opinion, by November the dollar for the first time in 2015 to break the mark of 30 UAH.

“We still don’t know what will be the decision of the IMF and in what time period. What is announced by the authorized bodies of the country – not more than speculation or wishes,” – said the expert.

While the NBU expect that the year-end exchange rate of hryvnia to the dollar should be UAH 28.5.

We will note, on Monday, 3 September, the interbank rate of dollar sales rose 19 cents to 28,43 UAH/USD, buying rate also rose by 19 cents to $ 28,39 UAH/USD.


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