From anti-Russian sanctions to the Hague: From sitting on two chairs will not win

От антироссийских санкций к Гааге: От сидения на двух стульях победы не будет

Today the international court in the Hague began hearings on the suit of Ukraine against Russia. It is symbolic that the hearings coincide with an equally important date – exactly three years ago, sixth of March 2014, the West imposed the first sanctions against Russia.

Coincidence or a pattern? Here to read tea leaves is not worth it. It is important that Ukraine is beginning another stage of the struggle – court. However, from what will depend on the success of this struggle and that it is necessary to understand the Ukrainian authorities will try to explain.

We all know that history is cyclical. As cyclical in its development any conflicts. No exception and Ukrainian-Russian. In the spring of 2014 years, the introduction of personal and sectoral sanctions against Russia the entire civilized world was seen as an adequate response to the annexation of Crimea and aggression in the Donbas.

For Ukraine, for its part, it was a chance to gather strength, in particular to bring order to the army and to build at least some line of defense.

Related news: On the court in the Hague Ukraine will present not only the data but also the data of international organizations – hopko

If sanctions against Russia used the United States, European Union and 13 countries, including Canada, Australia, Japan and Switzerland. Only in the “black list” were 146 people and 37 companies.

In December 2016, the European Union extended sanctions against Russia until July 2017. US President Barack Obama extended us sanctions to the sixth of March 2018 “due to the continuous Russian aggression against Ukraine and occupation of Crimea.”

Thus, the international community continues to Express his solidarity. And enough of these tools, and whether it is possible in this situation to offer more efficient mechanisms? Here, the experts diverge.

Some are convinced that the sanctions, and the Minsk agreement is the only deterrent to further offensive of the Kremlin. Others believe that European leaders have not shown sufficient hardness and determination against Putin and his entourage, and the Minsk agreement – a priori ineffective.

Who is right – hard to say. But the facts are eloquent.

Over the past three years in the Donbass killed more than ten thousand of the Ukrainian military. The economic situation in the country deteriorated sharply. The long-awaited reform that had been hoped for as our partners, and in the whole Ukrainian people, we have not seen.

And, of course, is key – the war continues, though, and goes into a wavy, loose mode.

News on topic: consideration of the claim of Ukraine against Russia in the Hague court can take 5-7 years, the Ministry of justice

The question of Crimea at present is not even Central. In Europe and Washington, in spite of official statements, learned that in the Crimea – Russian administration. And this perspective is not one year.

Yes, and the degree of interest in the situation in our country slept. Immigration crisis in Europe, Brakcet, victory trump and the upcoming elections in several EU countries “pulls the blanket” attention to a number of other issues.

It is important to understand that Ukraine is not the centre of geopolitical competition. We are only part of the overall process. How to quickly respond to external trends will impact our security and the future in General.

Hope for the strengthening of sanctions or the activation of Minsk, obviously not worth it. The primary task is to develop clear lines of behavior – both domestically and on external front. Yet a single logical position we never see. And is a huge threat.

How can you demand from the world of large-scale support and recognition of the crimes of the Russian Federation, if you are not able to decide on priorities at home?

Are at war with terrorists and traded with them at the same time. Called Russia an aggressor, but has not broken diplomatic relations, and for the three years of the war, the share of Russian capital in Ukraine has only increased as increased the number of the Russian mass media in our information space.

Assure everyone that the war with Russia – hybrid. But how, then, are the position of the Ukrainian authorities in this confrontation? After three years there is a war and we still call it anti-terrorist operation. Who want to cheat? All signs behave the same hybrid, as well as the Kremlin occupiers.

For example, the same lawsuit in the international court in the Hague. It is certainly good that there is at least some legal fight. But let’s not speculate. Because the Hague court is another, much more important to us – the international criminal court (ICC). Only he has the power to bring Putin and the rest of the perpetrators to justice for international crimes.

But the ICC Ukraine is in no hurry to go. Why? Someone forgot to remind the Association Agreement between the EU and Ukraine contains a provision which obliges us to ensure the ratification of the Rome Statute and cooperation with the ICC.

Related news: Lutsenko outlined the range of persons whose actions proposed to be considered by the court in the Hague

To ratify the Rome Statute also required the Verkhovna Rada. For this, we have made changes to the Constitution that has been approved by the Venice Commission. However, the transitional provisions of the draft amendments to the Constitution in terms of justice were made the norm on the delay in the ratification of the Rome Statute for three years.

That is, theoretically we recognize the jurisdiction of the ICC, but in fact these changes come into force three years later in 2019.

It is known that the accession of the state to the Rome Statute is an important proof that the country has a real commitment to fight crimes against international law and human rights. It turns out that deliberately delayed the recognition of the jurisdiction of the ICC. But now appeal to the international court in the Hague, where required to enter against Russia “provisional measures in the case concerning the application of international conventions for the suppression of the financing of terrorism and all forms of racial discrimination”. And it is all presented to the public under the sauce of “victory”. As in the game – neither yours nor ours.

There is a very simple rule, which the West all three years we tried to explain: for our freedom, no America or Europe will not fight. It is solely a national issue. And the sooner the leadership of the country realizes this, the sooner we will have a clear understanding of where we are going. Without this, no sanctions, no hearing in the Hague will not help to become stronger and win, in the end, all our enemies – both internal and external.

The Hague is not the crown of the fight, it was only a small part. The burden for the fate of the country rests on the shoulders of the government. We can only hope that she finally stops on a hybrid attack Russia to respond to the same anti-state hybrid method. After all, “a policy of sitting on two chairs simultaneously” is a dead end and a guaranteed period of turbulence for the country for the next few years.

Vladimir Pilipenko

The editors can not agree with the opinion of the author. If you want to write under the heading “Opinion”, read the rules of the publications and write on [email protected]

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